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Michael Burry Eyes SpaceX Short But Balks at Options Cost

The 'Big Short' investor sees SpaceX valuation as stretched but won't pay up for pricey puts. Here's what that signals.

Michael Burry — the guy who called the 2008 housing collapse — is eyeing SpaceX with serious skepticism. He says he's tempted to bet against the company, but he's passing. The reason? Options are just too expensive to make the trade worth it right now.

Burry's argument cuts straight to the point: SpaceX's market cap has ballooned to levels that tower over many well-established businesses and personal fortunes. That's the kind of valuation disconnect that historically gets Burry's attention. He built his career spotting exactly these moments — when price runs way ahead of reality.

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But here's the tradeable insight — Burry isn't pulling the trigger. When a seasoned short-seller smells blood yet still walks away, that tells you something about the risk-reward setup. Sky-high implied volatility in the options market means you're paying a steep premium just to be right. Even if the thesis is correct, the cost of being early can wipe you out before the trade works.

For retail traders, this is a masterclass in discipline. Conviction without an edge isn't a trade — it's a donation. Burry is essentially saying the valuation is absurd, but the vehicle to profit from that absurdity is too costly right now. Timing and execution matter as much as the idea itself.

SpaceX remains private, which adds another layer of complexity for anyone looking to act on a bearish thesis. Without a liquid, publicly traded share structure, options markets on any related plays become the only indirect route — and apparently even Burry doesn't like the price. Continue reading at US Top News and Analysis.

Continue reading at US Top News and Analysis →

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.Why is Michael Burry tempted to bet against SpaceX?

Burry believes SpaceX's market capitalization has reached levels that far exceed many established businesses and fortunes, signaling a potentially inflated valuation.

Q.Why did Michael Burry decide not to short SpaceX?

Despite his bearish view, Burry passed on the trade because options contracts were too expensive, making the risk-reward unattractive.

Q.How does SpaceX's valuation compare to other companies according to Burry?

Burry argued that SpaceX's market cap has grown to dwarf many well-established businesses and significant personal fortunes, which he views as a warning sign.

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